AP Probability and Statistics (course #04364)/Probability and Statistics(course #04340)
Lyn Davies 2009-2010
Room B217
Office Hours: 1:45-2:45 M-F
E_mail: lyn_davies@dpsk12.org
Phone: (720) 424-1700
Textbook Purchase
I have a limited number of used books from last year's class that I will sell for $20 each; first come first serve.
I have recently done some searches and found the book on ebay used in good condition for around $15 plus shipping. Try this link for further details.
http://www.bestwebbuys.com/The_Practice_of_Statistics-ISBN_9780716747734.html?isrc=b-search
The text for the course is The Practice of Statistics 2nd Edition published by W.H. Freeman and Company and authors Yates, Moore and Starnes. It is available new for a cost of $95 plus shipping at the following link:
http://highschool.bfwpub.com/highschool/newcatalog.aspx?search=yates&;isbn=0716747731
You might also check college bookstores for used copies as it is widely used at colleges as well.
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General AP v. Standard level differentiation
1) Students must take the AP exam for AP level credit
2) Students in the standard level must take a district exam both semesters which is 15% of the grade.
3) All students will receive the same instruction, however, AP level will have a heavier homework and assessment burden in order to provide sufficient preparation for the AP Exam. AP level students will also be expected to present solutions and analysis to assigned problems.
4) ALL students enrolled need to have completed either advanced algebra or IMP3 with a C or better to be successful.
Daily Class Log
Friday 11/20/09
Chapter 5 & 6 Test
Wednesday 11/18/09
Obj: Students will work with random variables, probability distributions and relative frequency.
TEST FRIDAY (Sample Multiple Choice given out)
Monday-Tuesday 11/16-11/17/09
Obj: Students will solve problems involving conditional probability.
Chapters 5 & 6 test Friday
Due Wednesday: please perform 25 trials via calculator for activity 7 which opens chapter 7. (begun in class)
Friday 11/13/09
Obj: Students will work with conditional probability.
Due Tuesday: p.379-381 #6.66-6.77 (Monday class time will be spent on this but students should have a good start before then)
Chapter 5 & 6 test next Friday
Tuesday 11/10/09
Obj: Students will work probability problems.
Teams presented portions of the assignment due Friday. Remaining teams will present Friday.
Monday 11/09/09
Obj: Students will work with formal probability rules and definitions.
Due Friday: p.356-359 #6.34, 6.36-43, 6.45
Friday 11/06/09
Obj: Students will experience the idea of repeated simulations approaching a theoretical probability.
Worked problem 5.73. Class results to be compiled.
Wednesday 11/04/09
Obj: Experimental simulation continued with an activity that will bridge to random behavior.
Due end of class: Opening activity for chapter 6 (spinner)
See 11/03 for assignment
Tuesday 11/03/09
Obj: Students will learn about experimental simulation.
Due Friday: p.317 #5.68-5.73
Monday 11/02/09
Obj: Students will solidify experimental design diagraming.
Worked through released item 2002 #2
HW due date bumped to tomorrow.
Monday-Tuesday 10/26/09-10/27/09
Obj: Students will learn about experimental design in the context of clinical trial.
Practice problems assigned: p.298-299 #5.38,5.39, 5.40; read pp.300-303
Due November 2nd: pp.306-308 #5.49, 5.50, 5.52, 5.54-56
Friday 10/23/09
Team teaching completed for section 5.1. Write-ups due Monday
See 10/21 for individual assignment due Tuesday.
Please read section 5.2
Wednesday 10/21/09
Team Assignments for teaching pp. 269-283. Accompanying vocabulary sheets given to everyone.
Part I pp. 269-274 with problems 5.1-5.8 (Lily's, Alex' and Liz' teams)
Part II pp. 274-280 with problems 5.9-5.12 (David's and Matt Roger's teams)
Part III pp. 280-284 with problems 5.13-5.18 (Christina's and Kyle's teams)
Team write up (1 paper per team) consisting of solutions to problems in your team's assigned section due Monday.
Due Tuesday: Everyone do end of section exercises pp.285-289 #5.19-5.30
Tuesday 10/20/09
Quiz Chapter 4
Monday 10/19/09
Obj: Students will work with two way tables and Simpson's Paradox.
Due tomorrow: Team assignment p.255 #4.71. Worked thru #4.60 in class.
QUIZ TOMORROW
Friday 10/16/09
Read pp.249-250 and work through #4.60-4.61. Be prepared to discuss Simpson's Paradox via these problems Monday.
Quiz over Chapter 4 Tuesday
Wednesday 10/14/09
Obj: Students will teach about confounding and common response in variables. Students will also begin working with 2 way tables and conditional probability.
Due Friday: p.245 #4.50-4.55
Tuesday 10/13/09
Obj: Students will teach each other about lurking variables, use of averages and extrapolation
Exercises 4.27, 4.28 and 4.30 were presented. Students who were absent Monday should write up answers to 4.27, 4.31, & 4.32.
Team write up of 4.27-4.32 due tomorrow for those teams assigned those problems.
Remaining teams will present tomorrow and turn in write up for 4.33-4.37 problems.
Monday 10/12/09
Students will read pp.225-231 and prepare presentations as assigned
Friday 10/09/09
Obj: Students will solidify their understanding of data transformation.
No further assignment
Wednesday 10/07/09
Obj: Students will problem solve using data transformation as a straightening technique.
(See Tuesday for assignment due Friday)
Tuesday 10/06/09
Obj: Students will begin to straighten data and curve fit.
Due Friday (Everyone) p.212-213 #4.7-4.11; p.219-221 #4.14-4.16
Monday 10/05/09
In Class-We simulated the opening cancer cell division activity for chapter 4 on calculator.
Read pp.195-211 on data transformation
Friday 10/2/09
Chapters 2 & 3 Test
Wednesday 9/30/09
Test Prep and problem solving in class
MC Answers: 1) E 2) A 3) B 4) D 5) E 6) A 7)E 8) C 9) E 10) B 11) A 12) A 13) C 14) D 15) C 16) A 17)E
WS select answers: #1)a. y hat = 12.5 + .75x b. y hat = 23.2-8x c. y bar = 152, SD(y) = 30
d. y bar = 25, r = .6; 3. a) Yes b) no c) maybe (fan effect is of concern); 5) LSRL minimizes the squares of the residuals. 24) a) 20.4g b) 92.3% of the variation in calories can be accounted for by the fat content. c) Predicted calories = 211.0 + 11.06(fat); 30) predicted candy sales = -178.0992 + 0.0900(year); sales for 2002 is predicted to be 2.153 million dollars. Some slight danger of extrapolation but the model is strong and linear so our faith is strong as well.
Tuesday 9/29/09
Obj: Students will learn about residuals, residual plots, outliers and the coefficient of determination.
TEST FRIDAY
Monday 9/28/09
Obj: Students will calculate LSRL from summary statistics.
WS "Regression" due Friday
Friday 9/25/09
Obj: Students will use the correlation coefficient to evaluate linearity.
CHAPTER 2 & 3 TEST NEXT FRIDAYWednesday 9/23/09
Obj: Students will learn about correlation and LSRL.
Due Monday: p.146 #3.25-3.28; p.147 #3.32, 3.36-3.37 (Everyone does this entire assignment)
Tuesday 9/22/09
Obj: Students will build graphs displaying bivariate data and interpret them.
Due Friday: Everyone- p.125 #3.7; p.129 3.9-3.11; p.135 #3.15, 3.17, 3.19
AP: In addition to the above problems read pages 130-131; do p.132 #3.12; p.135 #3.21, 3.22. Be prepared to present solutions to problems in class.
Monday 9/21/09
Mrs. Davies was out with sick child-all due dates bumped up.
Wednesday 9/16/09
Obj: Students will learn how to assess normality.
Due Monday-text p.109-111 and worksheet 102-103normal calculations assignment (See previous log for specifics)
Worksheet select answers: 19) a) 6.68% b) 98.78% c) 71.63% d) 61.71%; 21) a) 0.842 b) -0.675
c) -1.881 d) -1.645 to 1.645; 23) a) 79.55 b) 18.50 c) 95.79 d) -2.77; 25) a) diagram b) 30.85%
c) 17.00% d) 32 points e) 212.9 points; 27) a) 11.1% b) (35.9, 40.5) inches c) 40.5 inches
29) Mean 12.1 months, SD 1.3 months; 31) a) 5.3g b) 6.4g c) younger-SD smaller d) Mean 62.7g
SD 6.2g.
Tuesday 9/15/09
Obj: Students will practice normal calculations
Due Monday: WS 102-103 #19-32 all (for everyone)
Monday 9/14/09
Obj: Students will use z tables to find proportions of curves and z scores.
Due Monday: Standard: p.109-111 #2.28-2.34
AP: p.109-111 #2.28-2.37
Friday 9/11/09
Obj: Students will derive the standardized score formula.
Lack of electricity-we did the best we could
Wednesday 9/09/09
Obj: Students will work with normal models (notation, empirical rule and percentiles)
In class: Due at the end, p.89-90 #2.6-2.9 (Answers to 2.6 & 2.8 were posted, odd answers are in text)
Problem was given at the end of class to introduce standardized scores.
Tuesday 9/08/09
Obj: Students will build a sampling distribution of means and model it with a normal curve.
Due Monday 9/14: AP: p.90-92 #2.16-2.18
Everyone: p.103+ #2.21-2.25 AP students will be expected to present solutions
Friday 9/04/09
TEST CHAPTER 1
Wednesday 9/02/09
Objective: Students will explore linear transformations via team problems p.57.
Assignment (See 9/1)
Answers to multiple choice practice: p.13 1) B 2) C 3) B 4) C 5) B p.39-42 1) A 2) E 3) A 4) B 5) C 6) C
7) E 8) E 9) B 10) A 11)C 12) D 13) B 14) E
Tuesday 9/01/09
Obj: Students will use cumulative skills from chapter 1 to solve and present problems.
Assignment: Due Friday (everyone) p.63-63 #1.51-1.57 odd; p.67-72 #1.64, 1.65, 1.68, 1.70-1.72
In Class problems worked and presented to be continued tomorrow.
Chapter 1 Test Friday
Friday 8/28/09-Monday 8/31/09
Objective: Students will learn how to choose a measure of center and summary statistics. Boxplot construction and standard deviation calculation included.
Due date for today's HW bumped to Monday.
Wednesday 8/26/09 90 Minute Block
Objective: Students will build relative cumulative histograms and interpret percentiles from OGIVES.
See 8/25 for homework due Friday
Tuesday 8/25/09
Objective: Students will build histograms and describe distributions represented by them.
Due Friday: Everyone: p.22-24 #1.12-1.15; p.26-27 #1.16-1.17
AP: In addition to the above, p.31 #1.19-1.20
Monday 8/24/09
Objective: Students will begin to describe distributions.
Assignment: See Friday 8/20
Friday 8/21/09
Objective: Students will learn about data collection and display.
Assignment: Both levels, due Tuesday p.16-18 #1.7-1.11 (all)
Thursday 8/20/09
Objective: Students will begin to explore data and look at numbers critically.
Assignment: Both levels write a 1/2 page answer to the in class question based on given information and personal knowledge. (Due Friday end of class)