cornerupl:
Davies Probability and Statistics
cornerupr:
 
  Semester II
Tuesday/Wednesday 5/13 & 5/14
    FINAL EXAM (DISTRICT)

Monday 5/12

In Class Problems-Expected Values, Tree Diagrams (conditional PRB) and Hypothesis Testing About Proportions (Free Response)

Thursday/Friday 5/8 & 5/9
    In class practice for final exam.
    Answers to MC:  CH5:  1.b 2.e 3.a 4.c 5.b 6.c 7.d 8.b 9.b 10.d 11.c 12.a 13.c 14.c 15.b 16.d 17.a
                                             18. c 19.b 20. d
                                  CH6: 1.a 2.c 3.c 4.d 5.c 6.d 7.b 8.a 9.e 10.e 11.b 12.b 13. b 14. b 15.a 16.c
                                           17.d 18. a 19. a
                                  CH7 1.c 2.c 3.a 4.d 5.b 6.b 7.c 8.c 9.a 10. c
                                    CH 8 1.d 2.d 3.c 4.c 5.b 6.c 7.c 8.a 9.b 10.d 11.c 12. e

Tuesday 5/6 and Wednesday 5/7
    Chapter Nine Big Quiz
    This quiz can only be made up if absence is verified

Monday 5/5
    Notes:  Chi Squared Distributions
   
In Class Activity-chi squared and M&M color distributions
   
Collected WS 400
    QUIZ WEDNESDAY over chapter 9


Thursday 5/1
    Notes:  More Chi Square-Zodiac example
   
M&M in class application (10 points)
    Sample Chapter 9 questions passed out (Answers: 1) a  2) d  3) d  4) b  5) c 6) a 7) d 8) d 9) d 10) c
    Quiz Tuesday

Tuesday 4/29
    WS 400 due.  Minimum 3 problems-5pts each
    Notes: A) Significance Levels  B) Chi Square Introduction

Monday 4/28 & Wednesday 4/30
    Practice with P Values
    WS 400 (5 points per problem) due 4/29

Thursday/Friday 4/24 &4/25
    WS 3378-379 (
select answers posted in class)  Collected end of class
    Notes:  Hypothesis Testing about Proportions
    Assign: In class problem (can be e-mailed to absent students)

Tuesday 4/22 & Wednesday 4/23
    Notes: Confidence Intervals and z*
   
Assign:
WS 378 & 379 #1, 2, 11-15

Thursday 4/17
    Notes: Estimating with Confidence Levels other than 95%
   
QUIZ

Wednesday 4/16
    Activity Benford's Law (10 pt)
    Notes: Estimating with Confidence Levels other than 95%
   
Assign:
due Monday p495 #9.1-9.5; p. 505 #9.9-9.10
    QUIZ MONDAY

Tuesday 4/15
    Activity Benford's Law (10pt)
    Activity M&M estimating proportions with 95% confidence (10pt)
   
QUIZ THURSDAY

Monday 4/14
   
Notes:  More Expected Values/Estimating with Confidence (Proportions)
    Assign:
In Class (library research on Gallup.com)  Select topics given to each person (10 points)
                   WS 321 #1-8
                      select answers: 1a) 19 b) 4.2   2a) 1.2  b) 280  3b) $413  c) $4 or less
                                                5b)
1.75  c)  0.875  6b) 3.44  c) $17.20  7) $27,000  8) $10,600
    Quiz Thursday

Friday 4/11
    Notes:  More Expected Values/Estimating with Confidence (Proportions)
    Assign: 
In Class M&M Activity estimating the proportion of brown (p.488-489)
                   WS 321 #1-8
                      select answers: 1a) 19 b) 4.2   2a) 1.2  b) 280  3b) $413  c) $4 or less
                                                5b)
1.75  c)  0.875  6b) 3.44  c) $17.20  7) $27,000  8) $10,600
    Quiz Monday 4/21

Thursday-sub plan no homework

Wednesday 4/9
    Notes:  Sampling Distributions and Normal Curves (Capture ReCapture Goldfish)

Tuesday 4/8
    Notes:  Sampling Distributions and Normal Curves (Capture ReCapture Goldfish)
   
Assign: 
Due tuesday p. 474 #8.23-8.26

Thursday 4/3 Monday 4/7  (juniors and seniors spent Friday in the meeting about drunk driving)
    Notes: Expected Values
   
Rock Paper Scissors wrap up
    Assign: 
Activity 8.2A p.465 due Tuesday
    (8.11 thru 8.16 collected)

Wednesday 4/2
    Notes: Tree Diagrams and Conditional Prb.
    Assign:
In Class-Rock Paper Scissors (parts 1 & 2)
                 Binge Drinking Problem-finish the tree diagram started in class and find answers to both questions

Tuesday 4/1
    Notes:
Reverse Conditioning and 2 way Tables
   
Assign:  In class-parts 1 and 2 of application 8.1 p. 460 (10 points)  Rock Paper Scissors
                   Due Thursday: pp. 462-463 #8.11-8.16a (b refers to the second part of 8.1 app-we will do this in class Thursday together)

Monday 3/31
    Notes:  Steps in simulation write-up; Reverse Conditional Probability
   
In Class Activity:  Simulate the probability of drawing at least one ace in three cards with technology.
    Notes:  Tree Diagrams and Conditional Probability (Binge Drinking Example)
   
Assign: 
Complete the tree diagram for the 3 card problem; Work part 1 for the Binge Drinking example.

Thursday and Friday 3/20 &3/21
  Chapter 7 Quiz (Probability and Simulation)

Wednesday 3/19
  
7.24-7.28 collected
    Study guide given out for big quiz Friday
STUDY GUIDE ANSWERS
  Multiple Choice 1)
2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) d
  Free Response  1a)  2/270 or .007; b) 0 .033 c) 0.57 d) 0.06
                            2)  0.27 (use normalcdf(0.59,9999))
                            3&4) Answers will vary
                           5)  (Black day only)  a)  0.62 b) 0.12 c) 0.86 d) 0.66

Tuesday 3/18
    Notes:
Conditional Probability and Venn Diagrams
    Assign:  Study Guide for Thursday's big quiz (answers will appear tomorrow)
    Big Quiz Thursday (Open Note)

Monday 3/17
  Notes: 
From small number of trials to large number of samples-Binomial Theorem to Normal Curve


   Assign:  read p. 431-434; do exercises p. 434-435 #7.24-7.28 due Tuesday


   BIG QUIZ Friday

Friday 3/14
   Pi Day!

Thursday 3/13
   Notes: 
From small number of trials to large number of samples-Binomial Theorem to Normal Curve
   Assign:  read p. 431-434; do exercises p. 434-435 #7.24-7.28 due Tuesday
   BIG QUIZ next THURSDAY

Wednesday 3/12
 
Wrapup Conditional Prb and Venn Diagrams


  Back to Lady Tasting Tea-Significance levels-  We got as far as asking ourselves "What is the liklihood she could guess 8 out of 10 corrrectly?"

Tuesday 3/11
  Wrap-up Lady Tasting Tea-Introduce Significance Levels
  Will clean up binomial theorem Thursday

Monday 3/10
  Complete Simulation of M&M application sheet in class and compare with formal probability (how close did we come?)
  Lady Tasting Tea Activity due end of class
  
Assign: 
Due Tuesday WS 286 #9-12
   QUIZ #1 Thursday

Friday 3/7
  Notes: Conditional Probability (Venn Diagrams and 2-way tables)
 
Due Wednesday: 
Complete a Venn Diagram for the drunk driving exercise begun in class.
 
QUIZ #2 chapter 7 FRIDAY

Thursday 3/6
   Monty Hall Wrap-UP
   Begin Formal Probability via M&M guided problems (we will simulate next time)

Wednesday 3/5

  Monty Hall Wrap-Up (you are better off if you switch!)
  Assign:  WS 286 #9-12 (we did #9 together)  due Friday
 

Tuesday 3/4
   Notes:Intro. to Formal Probability
   In class activity  Monty Hall Problem


Monday 3/3
  Notes: 
Disjoint v. not Disjoint
  collected 7.1-7.10 (skip 7.5)
  collected M&M activity
  In Class Monty Hall Problem (Tables Collected)
 
Quiz #1 Chapter 7


Friday 2/29
  Notes:Intro. to Formal Probability
 
In class activity:  M&M example-students need to complete 50 trials for #2 and #3
  Quiz Monday (closed note)


Thursday 2/28
  Lectures on probability and correlation shown with sub due to Mrs. Davies out for professional development with DPS.  No need to make up this viewing if absent.



Wednesday 2/27
  Lady Tasting Tea Activity: 
This activity brings back the essential elements of experimental design.
  Assign:  Exercises 7.1-7.4, 7.6-7.10
  Quiz Monday

Tuesday
   Exercises done with the substitute
   We will quiz part I of chapter 7 sometime next week

Friday 2/22 & Monday 2/25
   Notes:  Personal v. Mathematical Probability & the Law of Large Numbers
  
In Class:  application 7.1; read pages 412-413 and write a couple of sentences for each of the four examples relating them to today's vocabulary.



Wednesday 2/20 & Thursday 2/21



   Introduction to Probability
   In Class Actvity 7.1 A and  7.2X (Tiger Woods)   


Thursday and Friday 2/14 & 2/15
    Chapter 5 and 6 TEST

Tuesday/ Wednesday 2/12 & 2/13
    Chapter 5 & 6 Test Practice
    Select Answers to Study Guide:
     2.14 a) -1  b)  1, 2  2.15)  Intervals starting with 3 SD below the mean 48.7, 53.5, 58.3, 63.1(mean), 67.9, 72.7, 77.5    2.21a)  .998  b)  .002  c) .952  d) .949   2.22a) -.674  b)  .253  2.23a) .88  c)  69.6 inches  3.52a)  y = -3.5519 + .1010x  b) 40.2%  c)  predicted = 6.8511   residual = -6.3211
3.53a)  Very weak positive linear with at least one outlier, lots of scatter  b) r = .143; 2%
 c) y = 1.91 + .062x  virtually no correlation  d)  without the Cardinals r is almost doubled but the association is still weak.    Multiple Choice:  77) d  78) 4.00  79) c  80) d  81) e  82) a  83) a  84) d
85) d  86)b  87) c  88) e  89) e  90) c or e  91) a  92) a 93) b 94) b 95) d 96) d 97) d  98) c and e
99) e  100) d  101)e  102) c and d 103) e  104) b  105) c  106) c  107) b



TEST Thursday/Friday


Monday 2/11
    Notes:  Resdiuals and Regression
   
Assign: 
WS. 159-161 #29,30; extension #38 (10 points)
    Unit Test covering chapters 5 and 6 Thursday



Thursday 2/7 & Friday 2/8
    Notes: More correlation (r squared)
   
Assign: 
Text pp. 370-371 #6.25-6.28; pp. 377-378 #6.29-6.33
                   Read pp. 373-384 for content and vocabulary



Tuesday 2/5 and Wednesday 2/6

    Notes:  calculating linear regressions given summary statistics

    Assign:  ws 155 #1-2; 9-12 due Thursday


Thursday 1/31 & Friday 2/1
    Quiz on CPI
    Assign:
Read for better understanding of correlation and association pp. 347-350; pp. 351-355;
                Do #6.10-6.16 (Due next class)

Tuesday 1/29 & Wednesday 1/30
    Notes:  Scatter Plots and correlation
   
Assign: 
Worksheet 132-34 #5-8, 12-16

Friday 1/25 and Monday 1/28
    Notes: Scatter Plots and Association
   
Assign: 
p. 337-339 #6.1-6.4



Wednesday & Thursday 1/23 & 1/24
    Notes: CPI and Income
   
Assign: 
Read p. 315-316 and understand the examples; Get vocabulary from 317; do exercises 5.36-5.40

Friday 1/18 & Tuesday 1/22
    Notes: Consumer Price Index Intro.-Activity 5.2
   
Assign:
p.  311-313 #5.30-5.35  due next class
    Make up quiz available Tuesday



Wednesday/Thursday 1/16 & 1/17
    Wrap up normal curves and QUIZ

Monday 1/14 & Tuesday 1/15
    Workday-Putting together 68-95-99.7 Rule; z scores and Percentiles in applied problems
    Open Note Quiz Next Class (skill list given in class)
    Assign:
Ws 102-103 #23-25; 28-32 due next class
    Select answers to worksheet 102-103 will be posted by Tuesday afternoon 1/15



  Here are select answers to WS 103:   #25 a)  Normal Curve with mean 188; 68% between 164 and 212; 95% between 140 and 236;  b)  30.83%  c)  17%  d)  32 points  e)  212.9 points;  28)  a) based on a normal model we expect 95% to be between 96.8 and 98.6 degrees, b) 28.4%  c) 97.6 degrees; 29) mean = 12.1 months and SD is 1.3 months; 30)  mean is 3 pounds and SD is 1.3 pounds; 31) a) 5.3 grams  b)  6.4 grams  c) younger  d)  mean is 62.7 grams SD is 6.2 grams  32a)  3.26 grams  b)  75.7 grams c) 2.86 grams  d) the new tomatoes are more consistant in weight.


Thursday 1/10 & Friday 1/11
    Notes: Percentiles and Normal Curves-TI 83 Instructions for Normalcdf and Invnorm
   
Assign:
WS 101 #11-12; 14-20

Tuesday 1/8 & Wednesday 1/9
    Notes: 68-95-99.7 Rule and the Normal Curve; Z - Scores
   
Assign: 
WS 100 #1-8;  Text p. 297 #5.7-5.12 (text for white day only)




__________________________________________________________________________________
Monday 12/17
    Due to large number of students absent for orchestra trip, the day was used to make up work and assessments
    Wednesday will be Final Round II for those who did poorly on the district final

Thursday 12/13 & Friday 12/14
    District Final Exam-One Page of Notes allowed

Tuesday 12/11
    Notes: Normal Distributions; 68-95-99.7 Rule; z-scores
   
Assign
SMW ws 100 #1-8 due Tuesday of next week.

Monday 12/10 & Wednesday 12/12
    Notes: Density Curves
   
In Class:
Activity 5.1A due end of class (10 points)
    Assign:p. 288 #5.3-5.5
    Final Study Guide passed out with answers. 
    Students may use one page of notes on the final

Wednesday and Thursday 12/5 &12/6
    Work day (substitute)
    Final Exams are Thursday and Friday of next week

Monday 12/3 & Tuesday 12/4
    Test
    (If not taken, must be made up this week)
    Assign: 
read and record vocabulary pp. 279-296

Thursday 11/29
    Test moved to Tuesday due to senior meeting

Tuesday 11/27 and Friday 11/30
    Notes:  effects of adding and multiplying a dataset by constants
   
Assign: 
p. 268-269 Activity 4.3 (Tuesday only)
    TEST THURSDAY CHAPTER 4

Monday 11/26 and Wednesday 11/28
    Notes:  Median v. Mean/Standard Deviation
    Assign: 
Extension given for activity 4.2 p. 223
                  p. 256 #4.50; p. 271 #4.57, 4.58, 4.60 due Tuesday

Tuesday 11/20
   
Notes: Boxplots and 5 Number Summaries
   
Assign: 
p. 238-239 #4.28, 4.31; pp. 254-256 #4.46, 4.47, 4.49 (By hand or with a TI-83+)  due next class.

Monday 11/19
     Notes: Boxplots and 5 Number Summaries
   
Assign: 
pp. 254-256 #4.46, 4.47, 4.49 (By hand or with a TI-83+)  Due along with last class assignment

Friday  11/16
     Practice on Histograms
    Due after the break
pp. 233-235 #4.23-4.27; pp. 238-240 #4.28-4.32

Wednesday/Thursday 11/14 & 11/15
    Notes: Building Histograms via Presidential Age Data
   
Assign:
p. 222-223 Answer all questions in the activity 4.2 including those that require some research.

Friday/Tuesday 11/9 & 11/13
    Notes: categorical data displays and what can go wrong
   
HW:
WS 28, 31, 33 #5, 15, 25 due next class

Wednesday/Thursday 11/7 & 11/8
    TEST #

Monday 11/5 and Tuesday 11/6
    In class test practice and experimental design wrap-up
    TEST 3 Wednesday and Thursday

Thursday 11/1 and Friday 11/2
    Notes: Data Ethics
   
Assign:
Read Example 3.19 on p. 178 and answer the embedded questions.
                 pp. 180-181 #3.44 thru 3.48  (Due next class)

Tuesday 10/30 & Wednesday 10/31
    Complete Miss Evers' Boys

Monday 10/29
   
Notes: Experimental Designs and Vocabulary
   
Assign: 
Worksheet p. 298-299 problems 5.37-5.42, 5.45 for design practice. (skip problems that reference previous problems in the book)  Due Thursday

Monday 10/22 & Tuesday 10/23
   
In preparation for the ethics unit we will be viewing the Pulitzer Prize winning Miss Evers' Boys on the Tuskegee Syphilis Experiment of the 1930's through the 1970's.

Friday 10/19
    Notes: Experimental Designs and Vocabulary
   
Assign: 
Worksheet p. 298-299 problems 5.37-5.42 for design practice.

Wednesday 10/17 and Thursday 10/18
    Unit 2 Test

Tuesday 10/16

    Notes: Experiments Good and Bad
   
Activity 3.1
    Assign:
pp. 138-139 #3.1-3.5
                 read pp. 139-143
                 pp. 143-144 #3.6-3.10
     TEST THURSDAY or PROJECT DUE

Monday 10/15
    Notes: Experiments Good and Bad
   
Activity 3.1
    Assign:
pp. 138-139 #3.1-3.5
                 read pp. 139-143
                 pp. 143-144 #3.6-3.10
     TEST WEDNESDAY or PROJECT DUE

Friday 10/12
    chapter review
    Assign: 
pp. 110-111 #2.57-2.60; pp. 126-127 #2.75-2.82; Review exercises for the chapter on pp. 129-132 odd problems-check your own Due Monday 10/15
    Assign: WS (SMW) 123 #6-8, 20

Thursday 10/11
    chapter review
    due date for chapter review assigned Monday bumped to Tuesday 10/16
    Assign:
WS (SMW) 123 #6-8, 20

Tuesday 10/09 and Wednesday 10/10
    Notes: Multistage Sampling
    Assign: Gallup Activity (Due thursday)
    Project Option Procedure Sheet given out
   
TEST or Project due Thursday 10/18 or Wednesday 10/17

Monday 10/08
    Substitute
    Assign: 
pp. 110-111 #2.57-2.60; pp. 126-127 #2.75-2.82; Review exercises for the chapter on pp. 129-132 odd problems-check your own Due Thursday 10/11
(unit test or project due Thursday 10/18)

Thursday/Friday 10/04 and 10/05
    Notes: Non-Sampling Errors
   
Quiz
    Assign: 
pp. 113-114 #2.62-2.66
                  Read p. 115-125

Tuesday 10/02 and Wednesday 10/03
   
In class activity-designing a survey
    homework questions taken
    quiz info. for Thursday or Friday (Open Note)
    Notes:   Errors  Sampling and Non-Sampling (to be completed next class)
     QUIZ NEXT CLASS

   

Thursday 9/27 & Monday10/01
    Notes: Normal Curves and Confidence Levels; Margin of Error
    Assign: 
p. 102 #2.47-2.56

Wednesday 9/26
    Notes: Random number assignment using tables and Graphing Calculator
    Assign:
p. 81 #2.20-2.23; read pp. 76-78 and answer #1-3 in the application box  

Tuesday 9/25 and Friday 9/28
    Notes:  From Samples to Populations
    Assign:
pp. 90-92 2.30-2.34
    Read:  pp. 92-101

Monday 9/24
    Notes: Random Number Assignment
    Finish Activity 2.1
    assign: 
p. 81 #2.20-2.23

Wednesday/Thursday 9/19 & 9/20
    Notes:
Good and Bad Samples
    Activity 2.1 with Applet (15 samples of size 3 from population of 5; 10 samples size 5 from population of 30)
    Read section 2.1
    Assign:  problem 2.1-2.6 due next class

Monday/Tuesday 9/17 & 9/18
    Chapter 1 Test

Friday 9/14
    Test is moved to Monday!
   
We will go over some sample questions today during shortened period.
    Turn in any late work and study for the test

Thursday 9/13
   
Sample test questions for review in class
    Study guide given for Unit Test scheduled for next Tuesday
    p. 49 and 55 collected 

Wednesday 9/12
   
Test Review in class
    Questions taken on the previous assignment p. 49 and 55
    Library based study
    Unit Test Friday

Tuesday 9/11
   
Complete Activity 1.2 "bias and reliability"
    Notes:  1.3 "Do the Numbers Make Sense"
    Thursday will be chapter review for Unit Test Tuesday

Monday 9/10

    Assignment due Thursday
       p. 49 #1.50-1.52; p. 55 #1.55, 1.57, 1.59; p. 57 #1.61, 1.63, 1.64, 1.68
   
Unit Test Tuesday of next week

Friday 9/7
   
Assignment given with substitute
    Unit Test next Friday

Wednesday 9/5
   
Wrap up 1.2 "how is your internal ruler" activity
    Reinforce Vocab: bias, reliability, validity, predictive validity, rate v. count
    Notes: 1.3
    Assignment (30 points) due next class after Friday
       p. 49-50 #1.50-1.54
       p. 55-56 #1.55-1.60

Tuesday 9/4
   
Vocab and notes through page 32
    Assign p. 33-34 1.29-1.31, 1.33,1.34

Friday 8/31
   
Quiz
    Activity 1.2 How Reliable is Your Internal Ruler
   
Vocab. "Reliable", "Measurement Bias"
    No Homework

Thursday 8/30
   
Observational Studies v. Experiments
    Anticipation Guide 1.1 (In Class)
    HW: due next class
      pp. 20-21 #1.18, 1.19, 1.21, 1.23
       read for vocab and basic content pp. 22-26

Wednesday 8/29
   
Validity in Measurement
    Assign: pp. 33-34 odd problems + *1.34 (Library time given)
       *It is not necessary for you to complete an IQ Test; Record the one you found, clearly explain whether or not you found it to be a valid measure of intelligence and why.
    QUIZ FRIDAY pp. 1-28 vocab and concepts.

Monday 8/27
   
1.2 Measuring pp. 22-28
    Assign:  p. 27-28 #1.24-1.28

Friday/Thrssday 8/24
   
Observational Studies v. Experiments
    Anticipation Guide 1.1 (In Class)
    HW: due next class
       p. 18 #1.15; pp. 20-21 #1.18, 1.19, 1.21, 1.23

Wednesday/Thursday 8/22 & 23
   
Intro. Producing Data  text pp. 1-8
    In class practice problems p. 7-8 and select problems from ws 13.
    Homework:  ws. 13 #1-12
             Modified directions:  In each case, identify the individuals and variables.

Tuesday 8/21/07
   
Class Policy Sheet Pass Out
    Course Overview
    Book Checkout
    Introductory Application

Monday 8/20/07
   
New Student Orientation


 
cornerdnl: This page was last updated: 5/12/2008; 2:24:58 PM cornerdnr: